They meet on the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field again. In this storied rivalry that has include Lombardi and Halas and Hornung and Sayers and Payton and Favre it stretches the memory to recall when the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears have ever met with so much on the line. In a 16 game season the fate of both teams came down to the 16th and final game.
If you close your eyes you can almost hear the basso profundo voice of the late great John Facenda of NFL Films glory reading that statement.
It just doesn’t get any better than this. Call a timeout and savor the moment. Packers/ Bears – again. The Vikings are the noisy neighbor with whom Packer faithful has more intense hatred but for pure football rivalry nothing tops this one. While both teams’ fans can get quite vitriolic about their hatred for the others’ team what is barely below the surface is the respect each has for the others’ team, and with that comes the fear each has of the others team.
No, it just doesn’t get any better.
Both teams have a lot at stake here. The Bears will be excused as they already have their ticket punched to the big dance. But they have a more than middling interest in doing well here. What they have at stake is a first round bye and home field in the playoffs and that will give them reason to scrap. Now toss in Lovie Smith who had said at his hiring and has maintained all along that his first goal was to “…beat the Green Bay Packers…” Yeah, kids, that is Lovie’s primary focus.
So before anybody gets the notion that D Bears are just gonna lay down and play patsies for the Pack put down the New Years toast and get real. Lovie WANTS to be the Pack. That means Da Bears want to beat the Pack. Their first success is making the playoffs. For Lovie and Co. being the team that sends the Pack home would be an extra Christmas present, and one they would dearly love.
Like most that follow the NFL the waiting for the inevitable Chicago implosion has been a monumental waste of time. The Bears did not fold along the way. Granted, they won quite a few games they should have lost (see: Green Bay, the Jets and either Detroit game to name a few) and have not exactly won over their critics.
In the bottom line world of the NFL they did however attain the only tangible positive in these contests. A ‘W’. Put up the win and shut up the critics. The marriage of OC Mike Martz and Jay Cutler, once thought to be as good a match as nitrogen and glycerin has produced some fabulous results. While Cutler still manages to throw the pick that puts (more) grey hair in Martz’s head he still throws as sweet a deep ball as anyone in the Show. After tossing a terrible pick 6 against the suddenly defensive floundering defense oriented New York Jets Cutler hit the emerging Johnny Knox and speedster Devin Hester on long TD chucks that pulled and victory from the jaws of defeat.
Knox has very quietly become a bona fide #1 receiver and Cutler’s favorite target. Once known only as a blazer with iffy hands Knox now can get deep and go after and get balls. He will be a matchup problem for anyone, so look for Tramon Williams to draw him. That, in turn, means someone with some jets (uhhhh, Sam Shields perhaps?) go with Hester on a track meet. Does Charles Woodson have the wheels to stay with either guy? Cutler will, no doubt, test that.
RB Matt Forte has come back healthy and come back strong after being dinged last year. If Forte can get untracked it opens up Martz’s play options and will buy Cutler some time. In the last meeting the Packers had the Bears in a death hold only to suddenly let up, allowing the Bears to catch and lap them and steal a win. The 17 penalties either committed or incurred by GB didn’t help any. That was a huge anomaly that won’t happen again. The Bear offensive line is as shaky as they come, but Cutler counters with a quick release. Pressuring Jay is the way to negate his arm. And Dom Capers will do just that.
While the Bears offense can pick up points it is their collective defense that has won them games. Led by All Stud MLB Brian Urlacher this is a fast, mean, and hard hitting group. To the Bears credit they have not had to deal with any significant injuries and have been able to field the same roster week after week. Much like GB the Bears boast a bend but don’t break D that is gaining confidence.
Green Bay, on the other hand, is literally playing for their playoff lives. The Packers playoffs essentially got kicked off last week against the Giants. The scenario is simple – the Packers control their own destiny. It’s like playoffs came 2 weeks early. Win this one and you’re in. Lose, and then hope the G-Men in NY tank again and Tampa falls flat.
The former is the more viable of options. The Packers want to win this game and advance through Chicago. The Bears want nothing more than to dig the hole, shove the Pack in, toss on the dirt and party on the grave.
Yeah… it doesn’t get better than this.
Coming off a surprisingly easy romp over the Giants Aaron Rodgers looks 100% after his concussion against the Lions. He moved the ball around and wisely slid to avoid any hard hits. The offensive line did a far better job of keeping the Giants feared pass rush off, and will now need to step it up as Julius Peppers is playing lights out.
GB still has RB issues and will, in all likelihood, activate rookie James Starks as FB Korey Hall is out with another (what else) injury. The RB by committee has made gains in the past weeks as Dimitri Nance has shown some pop while FB John Kuhn is becoming the fan favorite in GB. When the Pack gets the ball close the coaching staff has to wonder if they are being booed. Realizing it is a Kuhn call eases that worry. And Kuhn has had the best season of his career amassing 6 TD’s – 3 vs. NY last week.
Ron from York, Pa has supplied us with a very interesting “Tale of the Tape” Green Bay/ Chicago comparison:
Quarterback
Rodgers-264 yds p/game
Cutler-222 yds p/game
R-65.5% completion
C-61.1% completion
R-10 picks
C-14 picks
R-27 TD's
C-23 TD's
R-QB rating,101.9
C-QB rating,90.6Advantage - Packers
Offense
GB-Total yards,5446
CB-Total yards,4404
GB-Passing yards p/game,260.0
CB-Passing yards p/game,193.2
GB-Rushing yards p/game,103.1
CB-Rushing yards p/game,100.4 (surprised ??????)
GB-Points p/game,25.2
CB-Points p/game,22.1Advantage - Packers
Defense
GB-Passing yards allowed p/game,199.3
CB-Passing yards allowed p/game,224.3
GB-Rushing yards allowed p/game,115.2
CB-Rushing yards allowed p/game,92.1 (oh well)
GB-Points allowed p/game,15.8 (This is the best in the NFC & only Pittsburgh has allowed fewer in ALL the NFL at 14.9)
CB-Points allowed p/game,18.4Advantage - Packers
Special Teams
GB-UHHHH,got nothin' here
CB- Devin Hester averages 17.1 yds p/punt return & has 3 TD's. Danieal Manning averages 25.3 yds p/kickoff return.Great Big Huge Advantage – Bears
Rodgers-264 yds p/game
Cutler-222 yds p/game
R-65.5% completion
C-61.1% completion
R-10 picks
C-14 picks
R-27 TD's
C-23 TD's
R-QB rating,101.9
C-QB rating,90.6Advantage - Packers
Offense
GB-Total yards,5446
CB-Total yards,4404
GB-Passing yards p/game,260.0
CB-Passing yards p/game,193.2
GB-Rushing yards p/game,103.1
CB-Rushing yards p/game,100.4 (surprised ??????)
GB-Points p/game,25.2
CB-Points p/game,22.1Advantage - Packers
Defense
GB-Passing yards allowed p/game,199.3
CB-Passing yards allowed p/game,224.3
GB-Rushing yards allowed p/game,115.2
CB-Rushing yards allowed p/game,92.1 (oh well)
GB-Points allowed p/game,15.8 (This is the best in the NFC & only Pittsburgh has allowed fewer in ALL the NFL at 14.9)
CB-Points allowed p/game,18.4Advantage - Packers
Special Teams
GB-UHHHH,got nothin' here
CB- Devin Hester averages 17.1 yds p/punt return & has 3 TD's. Danieal Manning averages 25.3 yds p/kickoff return.Great Big Huge Advantage – Bears
Great big thanks to Ron for his research on this. And yes, the rush average/ game is a fact – Green Bay HAS outrushed the Bears this year on average. As long as rookie P Tim Masthay and K Mason Crosby don’t make the mistake of kicking to Devin Hester the Packers have a more than good chance here.
Hester is the game breaker and it makes no sense to even challenge him at this point. Concede to Hester’s greatness and look for other ways to beat the Bears.
In this game look for Rodgers to air it out again. The Packs run game gets surprising traction and will also do well. The Bears, in spite of what they have at stake play a bit more tentative. They can afford this loss. It's not that they don't want to win - they simply don't NEED to.
Green Bay does. And that's enough of an edge here.
It doesn’t get any better than this.
Well, yeah, it does.
GREEN BAY 27
Chicago 13