FILLING OUT THE DANCE CARD
How the Pack/ Vikes Game Affects the Playoff Picture
The plotlines that swirl around the finale of the 2012 NFL
campaign when the Green Bay Packers face the Minnesota Vikings are chock full
of suspense and a tale of strange bedfellows. It seems someone else has as much
vested in the game as the Packers and the Vikings themselves.
Start in Green Bay. The Packers already have sewn up a
playoff spot and the NFC North title. After beating up the Bears and mauling
the hapless Titans last week the Packers are steaming into the playoffs hitting
on all cylinders and peaking at just about the right time. A quick rundown of the
plots, subplots and how much interest this game will draw in the sidebar as
teams are jockeying for the last playoff spot.
WHAT’S
AT STAKE: GREEN BAY
The Packers are far from just playing out the string and
looking ahead. If they look ahead they can see a first round bye and a home
field advantage if they come out with a win and they lock up the #2 seed. Mike McCarthy knows how to tweak his
squad. They have been here before. Last year’s disappointment against the
Giants is this year’s motivation. The great coaches at some point let the
players’ own natural competitive sides take over. Over the course of a season,
a season that includes OTA’s and mini-camps and walkthroughs as well as the
mindless grind of training camp any coach’s words begin to lose their
effectiveness. If a player isn’t motivated by the desire to compete or be successful
his spot will be replaced pronto. McCarthy isn’t a Lombardi-esque whip-and-a-chair
taskmaster; McCarthy prefers the
relationship of professionals knowing their jobs and executing them at the
highest levels at full speed.
WHAT’S
AT STAKE: MINNSEOTA
The Vikings have their own singular vested interest and
is doesn’t get any simpler than the following – win and you’re in. The
advantage the Vikings have is threefold – they play at home, the Packers are
already in and have less urgency, and the Vikes have all world RB Adrian Peterson. Peterson blew out his ACL last
Christmas Eve and looked to be done for at least the majority of this season.
Running backs on gimpy knees are a dime a dozen. But Peterson is anything but conventional. Peterson’s return has stunned not just the NFL but the entire
sports world and has become one of the most compelling stories of the year. If
it were not for Peyton Manning’s triumphant
renaissance in Denver Peterson would
be a mortal lock for Comeback Player of the Year. The NFL loves and markets its’
quarterbacks and the media-friendly Manning
will get the nod after missing all of last year and leading the Broncos to
the playoffs after neck surgery. AD is
a scant 208 yards away from breaking Eric
Dickerson’s record for yards gained in a season. While Packers to a man
respect Peterson the last thing they
want is for him to break the record at their expense. To be successful the
Vikings will need more than just Peterson.
The NFL is a quarterback’s league now and QB
Christian Ponder is nowhere near the elite and he must now match throws
with one of the NFL’s best in Aaron Rodgers.
He will have to be more than his season long average rating for the Vikes to
get into the dance.
WHO
WILL BE WATCHING - WHAT’S
AT STAKE:
CHICAGO
BEARS – How bitterly ironic is that Da Bears fans have to become cheeseheads
for a day. The Bears have played themselves almost completely out of the
playoff picture and to have any hope at all their equation is simple – they must
win AND Green Bay must also win. Minnesota and Chicago could be flip flops
depending on how the game in Minnesota plays out. The Bears opened the first
half smoking at 7 – 1, their lone loss at the hands of the Pack in week 2 and
now in order to salvage what has been a horrendous second half that has seen
them win 2 games they need the Packers help. Jay Cutler has been abysmal in the drought and Matt Forte has gone AWOL in the losses that have piled up. Since
the Packers/ Vikings game has been moved to a more audience receptive time slot
of a 4:25 kickoff we can hardly wait to see Soldier Field decked out in green
and gold for the newest members on the bandwagon.
WHO
WILL BE WATCHING - WHAT’S
AT STAKE:
SAN
FRANCISCO – The Niners are already in but are fading in
the backstretch. San Fran broke so quickly from the gate they looked to lap the
field. But as the season has ground on the 49ers are looking less intimidating.
The Niners need a win and a Packers loss to jump back into the 2 seed slot. But
their outlook is a bit more specious. Since benching QB Alex Smith in favor of the more athletic Colin Kaepernick the 49ers passing game has suffered. Kaepernick is still a rookie and while
exciting he also plays like a rookie at times. The NFL is a passing game now
and without Smith the Niners have
slid backwards. Now WR Mario Manningham
is done for the year with a knee injury and Michael Crabtree has been a monumental disappointment and Randy Moss is so far past his prime he
is hardly worth mentioning. TE Vernon
Davis is big game capable but since his breakout against New Orleans Davis has struggled to regain any
dominance.
WHO
WILL BE WATCHING - WHAT’S
AT STAKE:
SEATTLE
SEAHAWKS – It is almost inconceivable but the thieving,
conniving, game-stealing Seahawks could hijack the #2 seed. How? With their
tainted W against Green Bay securing them a playoff spot if the Pack loses to Minnesota
and the 49ers lose to Arizona and the Hawks get by the Rams then Seattle
(gulp!) becomes the #2 seed. As it is the Hawks will be no worse than the 5
seed. But a hyper jump to #2? Hey – stranger things have happened.
WHO
WILL BE WATCHING - WHAT’S
AT STAKE:
THE MESS IN THE NFC EAST – Okay, class – here is the short version. The
Cowboys and Redskins are playing for the NFC East title and that game has been
moved to prime time at 8:20 to reach the largest audience possible. While
hardly a renewal of the old Cowboys and Indians duels of the 70’s and 80’s this
game has an impact. RG3 – Redskin QB Robert
Griffin III taking on the Tony Romo
win-in-spite-of-themselves Cowboys in a winner take all match. That game is
easy – whoever wins is in and the loser gets to pick up their golf clubs. This
game is a death match.
But on the outside
looking in with the faintest of chances are the defending Super Bowl champs in
New York. The Giants have looked superb at times – they dismantled the Packers
in their meeting this year – but have looked flawed and vulnerable inexplicably
at others. The Giants were destroyed by Joe
Flacco and the Ravens last week and barely looked willing to even compete.
This is a how to defend a Super Bowl crown? The Giants have the most complex of
equations and all the planets will need to line up for New York to even have a
shot at defending their title. The G-Men need a W against the hapless, soon to
fire Andy Reid Eagles, and then need
an awful lot of voodoo to get in. A loss renders the point moot, but if New
York grabs the win they will be parked in front of the NFL Network’s Red Zone coverage
and need the Vikings AND the Bears AND the Cowboys to all lose, a tall order
under even non-playoff circumstances. With Da Bears needing a W of their own
and playing at the same time as New York as the Giants exit the field they will
know whether or not the TV needs to be turned on. Desperate? Yeah, Eli and Co. are that desperate.
The central key in all
these configurations will be played out in the Dome in Minneapolis. The Packers
are rolling and are looking to keep their streak alive as they want to roar
into the playoffs. As the injured key components get healthy and rejoin the
lineup the extra week would serve the Pack well. To knock out the Vikings Aaron Rodgers will have to play a lot of
defense.
Yes – Aaron Rodgers playing defense. But not
in the traditional sense of the word.
Rodgers will not be lining up next to fellow pro Bowler Clay Matthews and looking to take on Peterson one on one. There’s an old
saying that goes the best defense is a good offense. In this case keeping Peterson off the field is clearly to
the Packers advantage and putting the ball in Ponder’s hand and forcing him to beat Green Bay with his arm is a
decided tilt in the Pack’s direction.
Green Bay has a far more
well-rounded and complete offense than Minnesota. Green Bay cannot match Minny
in quality of running back – but then again no one can. But Green Bay can kill
the clock and move the ball and put points on the board
One big knock that has
been haunting the Packers for some time is their penchant for playing down to
the level of their opponents and keeping them around. If last week’s blowout
against Tennessee is a portent of things to come that may change. If Rodgers’ aerial assault can put points
up on the board it forces Minnesota to match them point for point something
they are not built to do. If Peterson
runs wild the Vikes have as good a shot as anybody.
This game has much at
stake for both teams. There are records in the abeyance and there is still the
annoying cold streak of Mason Crosby. Rodgers would like to put up
enough points to put Minnesota away early and force the pass from Ponder. When Green
Bay does just that, the Giants will sullenly snap off their TV’s and get ready for
a long, cold winter of asking the question “What went wrong” while the Bears will
be singing the praises of Green Bay.
For their efforts the
Pack gets a week off and steams into the playoffs as one of the hottest teams
in the league at just the right time.
GREEN BAY 27
Minnesota 24