TRICK – OR TREAT?
Let the Hype Begin as Pack has Showdown in Denver
Here it is
almost Halloween and the biggest, greatest, most spectacular and most important
game ever in the history of the entire sporting universe is upon us. No, we’re
not talking about the World Series or the opening of the NHL and NBA seasons.
Nor are we speaking of the World Cup, the World Series of Poker or the World Tiddlywinks
Championship.
But if one
is of a mindset to buy into the media hype Sunday night’s nationally televised showdown
between the unbeaten (6 - 0) Denver Broncos and the also unbeaten (6- 0) Green
Bay Packers this is the Game of the Century. So Far. Yes, the matchup in Denver
will pit two future Hall of Fame quarterbacks in Aaron Rodgers and Peyton Manning
and both teams are legitimate Super Bowl contenders. Both teams have tremendous
offenses but also both teams have impressive defenses.
But time
for a reality check.
This is a
game. It is only a game. If it had been an actual REALLY important game you would
have
received instructions on where to go.
The column
under ‘Wins’ and ‘Losses’ and ‘Ties’ in the agate scores and standings is
miniscule. Two characters wide to be exact. There is no room for explanation or
stats or whatever else one wants to read into it. Black and white, win or loss.
It’s just that simple. It is but one more step out of 16 that moves a team
towards the Big Party at the end of the season. By that point the solid defeat
of Seattle and the last second nail-biting win over San Diego will have been
rendered to the pile of plays that made up the season. It is far from a critical
or crucial game and will have little to no bearing on the post season.
Keeping
this game in perspective is what Mike McCarthy does best. The Packers are not
only leading the league in win percentage, well, tied actually with Denver,
Carolina, Cincinnati and New England and scoring defense Green Bay is also
leading the league in man- games lost to injury. Jordy Nelson won’t play at all
this year. Morgan Burnett has missed all but a handful if plays already. Eddie
Lacy, Bryan Bulaga, Randall Cobb, David Bahktiari have all been out at one time
or another. Sam Barrington is gone on defense, Burnett for all intents and
purposes hasn’t even played yet and the list goes on and on and on.
Yet somehow
so have the Packers. In spite of the injuries Green Bay has clearly established
itself as
one of the Top 2 or 3 (at the most) teams in the NFL. Never in the history
of the game have so many teams remained unbeaten at this juncture. Carolina in
the NFC and the resurgent Cincinnati Bengals join the perennial powerhouse
Patriots in the AFC while the Pack and the Pats have been swapping #1 rankings
in the fun but frivolous Power Rankings each week.
It can no
longer be said Denver is led by Peyton Manning. This year’s team is led by a ferocious,
hard hitting and swarming defense that is on top in the NFL. The Broncos are
first against the pass, 4th against the run and 1st
overall in total yardage surrendered. While Green Bay’s numbers aren’t as
spiffy the Pack’s D can lay claim to the fewest points allowed thus far, an
even more important number.
Manning’s
age is now showing and is has become very apparent the end of the line is
quickly approaching. Manning no longer possesses enough arm strength to out
throw a defender. It is painful to watch someone like Manning who has been so
dominant for so long and done it with grace and class falter. The fan in all of
us does not want to see our heroes fade and fail, but that is exactly what
Manning is doing. The Broncos are not winning because of Manning; they are winning
in spite of Manning.
Manning’s
mind is as sharp as it ever was, maybe even more so now that he has all this
accumulated
football data. His body is letting him down. Here is a sobering
fact. Denver currently ranks 19th overall in the passing game, 30th
overall in the running game and 29th overall offensively. Manning is
currently the 17th rated QB and has thrown 10 INT’s to his 7 TD’s, hardly
Hall of Fame numbers. Similar to Rodgers in Green Bay Manning lost a huge
weapon when TE Julius Thomas left for Jacksonville in free agency. After
Demarious Thomas (48 receptions/ 1 TD/ 4th overall in catches) and Emmanuel
Sanders (38/ 3/ #14) the pickings in Denver get thinner than the air in which
both teams will compete on Sunday. RB’s Ronnie Hillman (323 yards/ 3 TD’s/ #22
overall) and C. J. Anderson (180/ 0/ #47 overall) are the only backs of merit
on a Bronco’s paltry running game.
The strength
of Denver is solidly in the defense. With Demarcus Ware, Von Miller, Brandon Marshall
and Aqib Talib the Broncos lead the NFL in sacks with 26. But guess who is
right behind the Broncos? Green Bay is currently tied for 2nd at 23
sacks with St. Louis. Denver is tied for 4th in INT’s with 9 but the
Pack is right behind them with 8. Neither team will give much quarter in the defense
department this year.
For the
Packers Rodgers and the offense have been, for them at least, in a bit of a
funk lately. After opening the season with 10 TD’s and 0 INT’s Rodgers has
thrown 5 TD’s but has yielded 3 picks, a very un-Rodgers-esque like stat. Not
so coincidentally Eddie Lacy and Davante Adams have both been out with injuries
in this stretch. But Green Bay is now winning those games when Rodgers isn’t
forced to be Superman unlike years past. The defense has won a few games along the
way (Seattle, San Francisco and the highlight reel deflection by rookie Damarious
Randall against San Diego) to make the Packers a more rounded, better balanced
team. Rodgers has won in a variety of ways and the offense continues to find
stars to step up. After Nelson was lost James Jones was literally plucked off the
waiver wire the next day. All Jones has done since being cut by both the
Raiders and the Giants is to be tied for the NFL lead in TD grabs at 6 with
Larry Fitzgerald and Allen Robinson (Jaguars).
Manning
and Rodgers do not go head to head but in a game such as this it is hard to
discount the
advantage Green Bay has at the single most important position on
the field. Taking nothing away from Denver’s D Rodgers and the Pack’s offense stands
to fare better against Denver’s defense than Manning does against Green Bay’s.
Both D’s are ferocious and will try to bag the other team’s QB. In that matchup
it is advantage Green Bay.
The bye
week could not have come at a better time for the Packers as it has given them some
time to rest and heal. Davante Adams and Lacy have both rolled ankles and Cobb
hasn’t been right since the pre-season. The big key in this game is for Rodgers
to simply be Rodgers and avoid turning the ball over. Talib and Chris Harris
are a formidable duo in the Bronco secondary so avoiding the pick is at the top
of Rodgers’ agenda. The Chargers humiliated Green Bay with a 38 minute to 22
minute time of possession battle, a battle the Pack has to rectify to beat the
Broncs. Keeping Manning off the field at any age is still the most reliable
formula to beat him.
One
benchmark of Rodgers’ stellar career is he is not prone to long term
stagnation. With a healthy compliment of wideouts Rodgers will have the
targets. TE Richard Rodgers is slowly emerging as an option. If Lacy’s ankle
has healed as he says it has both he and James Starks provide not just a 1 -2
punch but that’s a pair that packs a wallop. Starks ran wild and carried the
Packers past the Chargers and has found the form he had when he carried the
Pack all the way to the Super Bowl in his rookie campaign. But now Starks is
added to the walking wounded with a hip injury that will keep him out for a
while. Thankfully while surrendering yards the Packers defense is become a ready
for prime time group of players and is establishing itself as more than
capable.
Denver has
dodged a few bullets along the way. So has Green Bay. In the showdown in the Wild
West look for the Packers to be a methodical, clock killing machine that will
wear down Denver. If Green Bay can get up early and force Manning into more
passing situations the field tips wildly in Green Bay’s favor. Manning will be
facing a stiff test and Green Bay may just soon be applying to change the city name
to Blitz Bay. Clay Matthews, Mike Daniels, B. J. Raji, Nick Perry and Datone
Joes have all been a terror to opposing QB’s this year – and none of them were
in their 40’s.
GREEN BAY 26
Denver 23
This is categorically
not the most important game of the year. It is a mid-term test for both squads
to see where they are and how they stack up against a quality opponent. Somebody
comes out of this with their first loss of the year… but in reality little
else.
Say it
again – it is NOT the biggest game of the year. Given the parity laden weak
sister competition this game is the really just the big game of the weekend.
Denver 23