THE FINAL 53 – MAKING THE CUT
With precious little time from the lockout ravaged offseason to prepare, the Packers roster still has room for some interesting developments. Heady from an unexpected Super Bowl win Green Bay aced its draft yet again, returned 16 players from Injured Reserve and imported a new cadre of street free agents to compete for jobs on the ’11 version.
Depth, that unmistakable intangible, has been not only achieved but exceeded on almost every front. Talent is pouring off the training camp roster of 90 and some talented players will be taking their skills and for some a pretty good resume elsewhere in the hopes of landing a regular NFL paycheck. We look at the team, position by position and break them down into the Mortal Locks, On the Bubble, MAYbe or No Chance categories. The total number of roster spots appears in parentheses at each position.
The NFL is a passing league. That being said, let’s start right at the top –
QUARTERBACK - (Pack keeps 2)
Aaron Rodgers and Matt Flynn. Rodgers star has climbed so high and so fast that some are hard pressed to name his predecessor. All kidding aside the loss of Brett Favre has been significantly tempered with Rodgers emergence. There is no need to regurgitate the numbers; at 27 Rodgers is set to be the man for many years to come and has now matched Favre’s number of Super Bowl wins. An MVP season? It just might happen this year especially if the talent stays healthy.
Flynn is everyone’s start #2 QB. Don’t think for a second that fact is lost on Head Coach Mike McCarthy. With Flynn heading into a contract year the question is what to do with him. Sign him and deal for a top draft pick? Hang on to him as an insurance policy? Flynn stays this year, but his travel plans will be made less by what he does than the development of big armed #3 QB Graham Harrell.
Oh, how MM would love to stash away Harrell on the practice squad and keep a roster spot open for someone else and still have Harrell as an emergency and development project. Given the dearth of QB’s in the NFL Harrell just may stuck in a bit of roster hocus pocus by having someone much lower on the depth chart placed on the PS (CB Josh Gordy, for example) and swap spots after the post cut other team talent grabs are done. Harrell’s future is most likely ARod’s clipboard boy next year unless he is snagged off the PS by someone else.
RUNNING BACKS – (3)
Was it only a year ago that Green Bay’s running game was an ugly eyesore? My, how quickly things can change. Veteran Ryan Grant is back with a slightly restructured contract that all but ensures his stay in Green Bay – for now. So why is Grant NOT a Mortal Lock for the team? Try age 30, the age of extinction of most NFL RB’s, coming off an injury and heading into a contract year. Ugh, ugh, and ugh. Oh, and the annoying little fact that a Super Bowl was won without him. We concede the following:
MORTAL LOCKS:
James Starks and Alex Green (R/ Hawaii/ 3rd Round) – This is the future of the Packers running game. Starks has a huge upside and only scratched the surface of his considerable skill. He is staying put, as is the explosive Green who has shown a quick cut and a better feel for running the ball than his predecessor in Brandon Jackson, but has yet to become the blocker that Jackson was. Only a rookie both Green and 2nd year man Starks are here for the long haul and MM has to coach them up in the blue collar side of the position.
ON THE BUBBLE –
Grant, the veteran here, has more competition this year than he has seen his entire tenure in Green Bay. Does TT toss the dice and trade off Grant and his contract knowing that he must sign RG Josh Sitton, TE Jermichael Finley and WR Jordy Nelson in the coming off season? IS Grant worth more now in a deal than on the field? This oddball query lands Grant in the ranks of “Naaaaaawww… it aint gonna happen…” – but it could. Just not this year. Grant’s leadership, poise, and experience steady and very young backfield and he stays this year. But if the right deal comes along…
Both Rookie UDFA Brandon Saine (Ohio St) and Dimitri Nance (last years PS pickup from Atlanta) have had very good camps. But their skill set came against the 2’s, 3’s and 4’s of their preseason opponents and not the 1’s. Both have size, speed, and an upside. Look for Nance to get cut and picked up elsewhere and Saine to land on the Practice Squad.
FULLBACK – (1)
MORTAL LOCK –
John Kuhn. Local boy does good, landing a 3 year, reported $7.5 million contract and the fan favorite stakes a claim at becoming one of the NFL’s best FB’s not named Peyton Hillis. Write his name in ink.
ON THE BUBBLE –
Quinn Johnson. Johnson is a one trick pony, a devastating lead blocker, but has been slow to grasp the playbook, made a few mistakes and showed up to camp almost 20 lbs. overweight. He is fighting for his NFL life right now, and with rookie 7th rounder TE/FB and Special Team Ace Ryan Taylor pushing him Johnson may not make it to opening day.
TIGHT END – (5)
MORTAL LOCKS –
Jermichael Finley, D.J. Williams (R – 5th Round Ark), Tom Crabtree
All 3 are in. Can TT find a big enough truckload of money to keep the ubertalented Finley? The sure handed Williams is the insurance policy against that. Crabtree’s blocking and Special teams keep him here as well. Will MM and TT go with FIVE Tight Ends? They just might.
ON THE BUBBLE –
Andrew Quarless and Ryan Taylor (R 7th Round). Quarless shows glimpses of greatness then inexplicably something less than stellar. He will stick but like Johnson more is going to be demanded of him, Time for Quarless to step it up. Taylor is that unique multi-positional hybrid MM loves and can be used also as a FB. If so, it means at best a PS for Taylor but given his value on Special Teams and as a FB, he’ll stick.
MAYbe-
For Spencer Havner. Unless Havner gets moved to LB permanently his status among the TE’s is very shaky as there is far too much talent in front of him.
WIDE RECEIVER – (6)
The headache the Packer brass has this year is not derived from trying to find out who can play but who to keep. This may be the most talent laden position in the NFL. While some teams are struggling to find one non diva WR Green Bay has 8, maybe 9 NFL caliber WR’s in camp.
This is easy – Greg Jennings, Donald Driver, Jordy Nelson, James Jones and Randall Cobb (R – 2nd Round, Kentucky). The Big 5 is just that. Driver is closing out the back nine of a fantastic career and Nelson has just had his coming out party in the Super Bowl, while all Jennings does is haul in 70 catches every year and in the key moments. The addition of Cobb adds some new wrinkles. Will MM unveil a Wildcat formation featuring Cobb? Given the talent levels imagine the team that has its ground defense on the field when Green Bay goes 5 wide with Finley or Williams. Yikes! Aaron Rodgers lobbied hard for the drop-prone Jones in the off season and he also got a lot of new toys to play with this Christmas. The NFL is a passing league, and this year’s Packers are a passing team, and they will pass. A lot.
UDFA and PSer from a year ago Chastin West has broken free from the pack and is making a bold statement at inclusion on this year’s team. MM has also set the mandate that Special Teams is where these players make their mark in the hopes of seeing the field. While West has been marginal on ST he has shown some big skills during preseason at WR. It might be just enough to make it.
MAYbe –
Tori Gurley has great Plaxico Burress type size (6’4”/ 215 lbs) but has had some drops. The Packers saw enough of them last year and have begun to address their incumbents inconsistencies. They don’t need it out of a #6 man. Shaky Smithson has speed, but lacks size and has not shown all he is capable of as a returner. That job will fall to Cobb. Diondre Borel has also had a good camp. Look for these names to land elsewhere as GB is too talent rich to keep them all. Even last year’s #5 Brett Swain will be on the outside looking in at cut time as his injury history is against him. Every one of these players could find himself on another teams roster after their auditions… they ARE that good. But West and Gurley have too much upside to be cut. At least one to the PS, and possibly West to the Varsity. The separation between the two will come on their special teams performance, which MM has placed a renewed emphasis on for all incoming hopefuls. Gurley has stood out in ST’s with 4 blocked punts in practice, so the decision as to who stays will be difficult.
NO CHANCE -
Any other WR in camp not named above. Thanks for the effort; here’s a plane ticket and good luck in your next stop. Antonio Robinson, Kerry Taylor… this is too tough a nut to crack.
OFFENSIVE LINE – (10* - Special Teams LS included)
Let’s get this out of then way. Chad Clifton (LT), T.J. Lang (LG) Scott Wells (C), All Star in Waiting Josh Sitton (RG) and Bryan Bulaga (RT) are and will be the core of the line barring injuries. Lang will get off to a rough start but will be a big upgrade over departed Free Agent Daryn Colledge, especially in the running game. 1st Round Pick Derrick Sherrod joins this group as does Marshall Newhouse and Nick MacDonald. LS Brett Goode also is a lock, leaving scant room for anyone else to crack even the backups. Sherrod, MacDonald and Newhouse have all been moved frequently around the line in the preseason and Sherrod looks to be the long term answer to Clifton’s looming exit. The coaching staff is extremely high on Newhouse and MacDonald and they will get a second and third look. That leaves a scant single roster spot for a lineman left. There are no MAYbe’s here – and the race is close.
ON THE BUBBLE -
Rookie Caleb Schlauderoff, Evan Dietrich-Smith, and Chris Campbell are all scrapping for one roster spot. How the Packers went from a perceived weakness to a glut of talent on the O Line in such dramatic fashion and decidedly under the radar is yet another testament to TT’s “Draft and Develop” style. All of a sudden the Packers have the makings of a dominant and young line. E D-S gets the spot with his versatility and experience while Campbell and Schlauderoff get the PS.
Sampson Genus should be kept simply for his name. But he, along with wide eyed hopefuls Ray Dominguez, Adrian Battles, and Theo Sherman will get the axe.
SPECIAL TEAMS –
MORTAL LOCKS –
No surprises here. Mason Crosby comes in with a new contract, a shortened kickoff and the hope of improving his pedestrian 80% field goal percentage. Granted, he kicks in chilly Lambeau and possesses a big leg, but the brass is hoping for better, and are exepecting it in what should be a big year for the Packers kicker. P Tim Masthay has done nothing short of drop the jaws anyone who watches him punt. Long, high, deep, excellent hang time – MM and TT found a gem in a trash heap and Masthay has made everyone forget the endless string of disasters at the position. Brett Goode has never made an errant snap in his career. Ever. Not once. Go ahead and look… you simply won’t find it anywhere. He is money. Rookie Randall Cobb will handle all the returns this year. It will be exciting.
PROJECTED OFFENSE ROSTER (26) – (STARTERS IN BOLD ITALICS) (PRACTICE SQUAD UNDERLINED)
QB – Aaron Rodgers, Matt Flynn, Graham Harrell (PS)
RB – Ryan Grant, James Starks, Alex Green (R) Brandon Saine (R – PS)
FB – John Kuhn
TE – Jermichael Finley, Andrew Quarless, Tom Crabtree, D.J. Williams, Ryan Taylor (R)
WR – Greg Jennings, Donald Driver, Jordy Nelson, James Jones, Randall Cobb, Chastin West, Tori Gurley (R – PS)
OLINE – Chad Clifton, T.J. Lang, Scott Wells, Josh Sitton, Bryan Bulaga, Derrick Sherrod, Nick MacDonald, Marshall Newhouse, Evan Dietrich-Smith Chris Campbell (PS), Caleb Schlauderoff (PS)
ST – (3)
LS – Brett Goode
P – Tim Masthay
K – Mason Crosby
KR – Randall Cobb (R)
Next: The Defensive Roster